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Multifactorial Determinants of Opioid Prescribing After Ambulatory Otolaryngology Surgery

Archives of Otorhinolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery. 2025;9(1):3
DOI: 10.24983/scitemed.aohns.2025.00200
Article Type: Original Article

Abstract

Objective: To examine the paradox of rising opioid mortality despite declining prescription rates, we evaluated the influence of surgical, surgeon, and patient factors on postoperative opioid prescribing in ambulatory otolaryngology.
Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 2,129 adults who underwent ambulatory otolaryngology procedures at a tertiary academic medical center from 2020 through 2023. Discharge prescriptions were converted to morphine milligram equivalents (MME). Associations between prescribing volume and covariates were examined using univariate analyses and multivariable negative binomial regression with surgeon-level random effects.
Results: Procedure type was the strongest determinant of prescribing. Compared with nasal procedures, oropharyngeal procedures were associated with nearly threefold higher MME (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 2.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.24–3.59; p < 0.001). Trauma was associated with 44% higher MME (IRR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.07–1.94; p = 0.015), while head and neck procedures were associated with 31% lower prescribing (IRR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.54–0.89; p = 0.003). Patients who underwent multiple procedures had 71% higher MME (IRR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.28–2.27; p < 0.001). Surgeon factors were also significant: those with ≤5 years of experience prescribed 43% less than those with >10 years (IRR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.42–0.75; p < 0.001), and head and neck specialists prescribed 59% more than rhinologists (IRR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.18–2.15; p = 0.002). Each 5-year increase in age corresponded to a 1% reduction in MME (IRR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.97–1.00; p = 0.041). Patients who received a refill had been prescribed 21% more MME at discharge (IRR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.03–1.43; p = 0.021). In unadjusted analyses, significant variation by race was observed (p = 0.004), with Black or African American patients receiving the highest median MME.
Conclusions: Postoperative opioid prescribing varied systematically by procedure type, surgeon characteristics, and patient factors, rather than representing a uniform response to pain. These results underscore the limitations of universal prescribing mandates and support the adoption of individualized, evidence-based opioid stewardship strategies that integrate procedure-specific, provider-level, and patient-level determinants.

Keywords

  • Analgesics; comorbidity; drug prescriptions; healthcare disparities; pain management; retrospective studies; risk factors; surgeons

Introduction

Opioid Epidemic Burden
The opioid crisis remains a major public health threat. Globally, more than 16 million people meet diagnostic criteria for opioid use disorder [1]. In the United States, the burden is substantial: nearly 450,000 deaths over the past two decades [2,3], a 292% increase in mortality between 2001 and 2016 [4], and an estimated 1.7 million years of life lost in recent years [5]. The economic impact is similarly large, with costs estimated at 78.5 billion dollars annually [4]. During the COVID-19 pandemic, mortality rose further, with opioid related deaths increasing by approximately 63% [6].

Surgery as an Opioid Gateway
Postoperative pain management has emerged as a critical contributor to the opioid crisis. Surgeons occupy a central position in this process, serving as the second most frequent prescribers of opioids after pain medicine specialists [7]. This pattern carries substantial iatrogenic risk. Between 3% and 10% of opioid-naïve patients become new persistent opioid users, continuing to take these medications for up to a year after routine, short-stay surgery [8–10]. These prescribing practices stem from a longstanding medical culture that prioritized aggressive pain control and normalized the routine use of opioids after surgery [5]. Surgeons now face a clinical dilemma: how to balance effective management of acute postoperative pain with the imperative to reduce the risk of long-term dependence.

Opioid Prescribing Paradox
The modern opioid crisis is characterized by a paradox: medical prescribing of opioids has declined, yet opioid-related mortality has continued to rise. A 2022 analysis reported a 38% reduction in prescriptions over the preceding decade, whereas deaths increased by nearly 300% during the same period [11]. The principal driver of this divergence is the spread of highly potent illicit synthetic opioids, such as fentanyl, which now dominate the drug supply [12]. However, this shift toward illicit use does not absolve the healthcare system of responsibility, as the path to illicit dependence often begins with a legitimate medical prescription [13,14]. Despite overall reductions in prescribing, opioid exposure remains widespread [12]; nearly 15% of the U.S. population continues to fill at least one opioid prescription each year [3]. This persistent exposure sustains a large population vulnerable to transition into an increasingly lethal illicit drug market. These dynamics underscore the continued importance of the surgeon’s gatekeeper role, as each prescription represents a pivotal opportunity to prevent downstream harm.

Rationale and Study Objectives
The opioid prescribing paradox illustrates that strategies focused solely on reducing prescription volume are inadequate. Effective opioid stewardship requires a clearer understanding of the factors that drive prescribing behavior, yet significant knowledge gaps remain. The independent and combined contributions of procedure type, surgeon practice patterns, and patient characteristics to prescribing variation are not well quantified. This limitation has impeded the development of evidence-based, procedure-specific protocols necessary for safe and equitable pain management [15].

Accordingly, the primary objective of this study was to characterize postoperative opioid prescribing patterns in ambulatory otolaryngology. We aimed to quantify the total morphine milligram equivalents (MME) prescribed and to identify the surgical, surgeon, and patient-level factors independently associated with prescribing variation. These findings are intended to inform the development of standardized, data-driven institutional protocols that balance effective pain control with the imperative to reduce opioid-related harm.

Methods

Study Design
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients (18 years of age or older) who underwent ambulatory otolaryngology procedures at a tertiary academic medical center between March 1, 2020, and March 31, 2023. Using data from the electronic medical record, we performed a cross-sectional analysis restricted to opioid prescriptions issued at hospital discharge. The primary outcome was the total prescribed opioid quantity, standardized to MME. We assessed the association of this outcome with a set of patient, procedural, and surgeon-level variables. The entire study period occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic, a context that may have influenced clinical and prescribing behaviors.

Patient Selection
The study cohort was composed of adult patients (18 years of age or older) who underwent an ambulatory otolaryngology procedure. Eligible procedures were classified into six primary categories: nasal, oropharyngeal, trauma, head and neck, otologic, and multiple procedures. We excluded patients from the analysis if the indication for surgery was an active malignancy or if they had a pre-existing diagnosis of chronic opioid use disorder. To ensure a comprehensive analysis of prescribing practices, patients who did not receive an opioid prescription (a total MME of zero) were retained in the final cohort.

Outcome Measures
The primary outcome was the total quantity of opioids prescribed at discharge, measured in MME and analyzed as a continuous variable. The total MME for each patient was calculated by summing the MME values for all discharge opioid prescriptions documented in the electronic medical record. This calculation was performed in accordance with the 2022 U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines and conversion factors [16,17]. For medications containing multiple active ingredients, only the opioid component was included in the MME calculation.

Covariates
We assessed a set of prespecified covariates at the patient, surgical, and surgeon levels.

Patient-level covariates included age, sex, and race. The following comorbid conditions, identified from the electronic medical record, were also included in the analysis: hypertension, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, and psychiatric illness. Other patient characteristics, such as smoking status, were collected for descriptive purposes. The receipt of a subsequent prescription refill was also documented as a patient-level variable for use in an exploratory analysis.

Surgical covariates were defined by the primary procedure, which was classified into one of six categories: nasal, oropharyngeal, head and neck, trauma, otologic, or multiple procedures.

Surgeon-level covariates included subspecialty, sex, and years of post-residency clinical experience. Experience was categorized as 5 or fewer years, 6 to 10 years, or more than 10 years, with the last serving as the reference category in regression models.

Statistical Analysis
Baseline patient, surgical, and surgeon characteristics were summarized using frequencies and percentages for categorical variables. Continuous variables were reported as means with standard deviations (SD) and medians with interquartile ranges (IQR), depending on their distribution.

We first performed univariable analyses, including the use of the Kruskal-Wallis test, to evaluate initial associations between individual covariates and prescribed MME. To subsequently identify factors that were independently associated with the outcome, we developed a multivariable negative binomial regression model. This approach was chosen to address the overdispersed nature of the prescription data and to account for the clustering of prescribing patterns by individual surgeons through the use of surgeon-level random effects. Covariates for the final model were prespecified on the basis of clinical relevance and prior literature to represent distinct domains of influence, including patient, surgical, and surgeon characteristics. Key covariates were retained for adjustment regardless of their statistical significance in univariable analyses to mitigate confounding. Results from the model are reported as incidence rate ratios (IRR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI).

In a separate exploratory analysis, we evaluated the association between the initial MME prescribed at discharge and the subsequent receipt of a prescription refill. Since refills occur after discharge, this analysis was strictly associative and intended to generate hypotheses. These findings should therefore be interpreted as preliminary and not as evidence of causality. All statistical tests were two-sided, and a p value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Analyses were conducted using Stata, version 18 (StataCorp, 2023).

Results

Patient Characteristics
The analytic sample included 2,129 patients (Table 1). The mean age was 46.7 years (SD, 18.3), and the median was 47 years (IQR, 32–61). A total of 52.8% were female. Patients were predominantly White (68.3%), followed by Black or African American (9.6%) and Asian (4.6%), with 17.5% classified as Other or Unknown. Most patients identified as non-Hispanic (77.7%).

Race was the only baseline demographic factor significantly associated with prescribed MME (p = 0.004). In contrast, age, sex, ethnicity, and smoking status were not significantly associated (p = 0.280–0.770). Among racial groups, Black or African American patients received the highest prescriptions (80; IQR, 50–236.5), Asian patients the lowest (60; IQR, 40–90), and White or Other/Unknown groups were intermediate (75; IQR, 50–100) (Table 1 and Figure 1).

 

 

Figure 1. Racial variation in median discharge opioid prescribing after ambulatory otolaryngology surgery. The bar chart shows the median morphine milligram equivalents (MME) prescribed at discharge across four racial groups within the study cohort (n = 2,129). Prescribing volume differs significantly among groups (p = 0.004). Black/African American patients receive the highest median MME, whereas Asian patients receive the lowest, with White and Other/Unknown groups demonstrating intermediate values.

 

Comorbid Conditions
The most prevalent comorbidity was osteoarthritis (38%), followed by hypothyroidism (10.7%), myocardial infarction (9.3%), obesity (8.8%), and neuropathy (7.8%). Several conditions were significantly associated with prescribed MME. Depression (p < 0.001) and anxiety (p = 0.042) were linked to higher prescriptions, with depression showing the greatest difference (100 vs. 75; IQR, 60–150 vs. 50–100). In contrast, hypothyroidism (p = 0.019; 60 vs. 75), liver disease (p = 0.008; 60 vs. 75), neuropathy (p < 0.001; 60 vs. 75), metastatic solid tumor (p = 0.002; 60 vs. 50), and renal disease (p = 0.009; 50 vs. 75) were each associated with lower prescriptions (Table 2).

 

 

Surgical and Surgeon Characteristics
Among 2,129 patients, the most common procedure was nasal surgery (38.6%), followed by otologic (22.7%), head and neck (22.6%), oropharyngeal (10.9%), and trauma (2.5%) (Table 3 and Figure 2). Approximately 2.7% underwent multiple procedures during admission, a proportion too small to materially affect overall results (median MME, 110; IQR, 60–236.5). Procedure type was significantly associated with prescribed MME (p < 0.001). Oropharyngeal procedures had the highest median prescription (236.5; IQR, 0), nearly five times that for head and neck or otologic procedures (50 for both), while nasal procedures showed intermediate values (75; IQR, 25–100) (Table 3 and Figure 3). Prescribing for oropharyngeal procedures showed no variability, with an IQR of zero.

Attending surgeons were predominantly male (72.3%), and female surgeons prescribed more MME than male surgeons (80 vs. 60; p < 0.001). Prescribing increased stepwise with experience, with median values of 50, 60, and 75 for surgeons with ≤5, 6–10, and >10 years of practice, respectively (p < 0.001). Rhinology was the most common subspecialty (35.7%), but the highest prescribing was observed among pediatric and comprehensive otolaryngologists (236.5 and 150, respectively), with the lowest among laryngology and neurotology specialists (50 for both).

Refills were uncommon: 92.9% of patients had none, whereas 7.1% had at least one. Among those with a refill, the initial prescription was significantly larger (100; IQR, 60–236.5) than among those without (70; IQR, 50–100; p < 0.001).

 

 

Figure 2. Distribution of surgical procedure types. The pie chart shows the proportional distribution of ambulatory otolaryngology procedures in the study cohort (n = 2,129). Percentages for each category are displayed to highlight relative case volumes across the major surgical groups.

 

Figure 3. Median prescribed morphine milligram equivalents (MME) by surgical procedure type. The bar chart shows the median MME prescribed at discharge, stratified by surgical category (n = 2,129). Prescribing differs significantly among groups (p < 0.001). Oropharyngeal procedures are associated with the highest median MME, whereas head and neck and otologic procedures are associated with the lowest.

 

Adjusted Associations
In the fully adjusted multivariable negative binomial regression model with surgeon-level random effects (Table 4), several patient, surgical, and surgeon characteristics remained independently associated with prescribed MME. Using nasal procedures as the reference, oropharyngeal surgeries were associated with nearly three times higher prescribing (IRR, 2.84; 95% CI, 2.24–3.59; p < 0.001), trauma with 44% higher prescribing (IRR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.07–1.94; p = 0.015), and multiple procedures with 71% higher prescribing (IRR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.28–2.27; p < 0.001). Head and neck surgeries, in contrast, were associated with 31% lower prescribing (IRR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.54–0.89; p = 0.003). These findings were consistent with the univariate distributions shown in Figure 3 and confirmed that procedure type remained the dominant determinant of prescribing after adjustment.

Among surgeon-level factors, those with ≤5 years of experience prescribed 43% less than those with >10 years (IRR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.42–0.75; p < 0.001). Head and neck surgeons prescribed 59% more than rhinologists (IRR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.18–2.15; p = 0.002). Other subspecialties showed no significant difference from the rhinology reference group.

At the patient level, each 5-year increase in age was associated with a 1% reduction (IRR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.97–1.00; p = 0.041). Obesity demonstrated a borderline association (IRR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00–1.20; p = 0.052). Patients who received at least one refill had initial prescriptions that were 21% higher than those without a refill (IRR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.03–1.43; p = 0.021).

 

Discussion

This study demonstrated significant variation in opioid prescribing after ambulatory otolaryngology procedures, shaped by the combined influence of surgical, surgeon, and patient-level factors. Surgical procedure was the dominant determinant of prescribing volume, but surgeon-specific characteristics, including clinical experience and subspecialty, also exerted strong and independent effects. Patient-related factors revealed more complex patterns: the observed racial disparities ran counter to prior reports, and the associations with comorbid conditions suggested a nuanced approach to clinical risk stratification. In the sections that follow, we examine these findings in order of their relative impact, beginning with the central role of procedure type, then considering surgeon-level influences, and concluding with patient-level determinants.

Dominant Influence of Surgical Procedure
Multivariable analysis confirmed that the type of surgical procedure was the strongest determinant of postoperative opioid prescribing (Table 4). This finding aligns with prior literature [18–21], which has shown that procedures associated with greater postoperative pain are typically linked to higher prescribing. In our study, oropharyngeal procedures exemplified this pattern, requiring substantially higher doses than nasal surgery.

However, the findings for head and neck procedures highlight a key limitation of using broad surgical categories in prescribing research. In our adjusted analysis, this category was associated with unexpectedly lower prescribing despite encompassing operations known to be highly painful, such as parotidectomy. The most plausible explanation is the substantial heterogeneity within this group, where high-pain but less common procedures were masked by high-volume, lower-pain operations such as thyroidectomy. Although sub-analysis by individual procedure was not feasible in our dataset, interpreting this result as an artifact of procedural heterogeneity is consistent with prior studies showing elevated opioid requirements for specific head and neck surgeries [18–21].

These findings illustrate that broad surgical categories can obscure clinically important differences in analgesic requirements. Such classifications risk misleading interpretation and producing inadequate prescribing guidance. The evidence instead supports the need for procedure-specific recommendations to reduce variability and enhance patient safety.

Surgeon Factors in Prescribing Variation
Surgeon-related characteristics also emerged as strong and independent determinants of prescribing behavior. Two consistent patterns were observed: a generational gradient, with less experienced surgeons prescribing more conservatively, and specialty-specific differences, with head and neck surgeons prescribing more than their rhinology counterparts.

These differences are likely multifactorial. More conservative prescribing among junior surgeons may reflect the influence of recent educational reforms and heightened awareness of the opioid crisis. The adoption of perioperative protocols such as Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) [22] has also shaped these patterns. ERAS emphasizes multimodal analgesia and aims to minimize opioid reliance by incorporating non-opioid agents, including acetaminophen, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and gabapentinoids. These principles have been widely integrated into contemporary training and likely contribute to the more cautious prescribing observed among less experienced surgeons. This interpretation is supported by a 2022 Medicare analysis, which showed that older physicians prescribed substantially more opioids than younger physicians and projected further declines as senior cohorts retire [23]. Alternatively, higher prescribing among senior surgeons may reflect reliance on accumulated experience and clinical intuition, which does not necessarily indicate inappropriate practice or disregard for evolving guidelines.

Separately, the higher prescribing observed among head and neck specialists likely reflects a specialty-specific culture shaped by a case mix historically recognized as highly painful. A well-established prescribing hierarchy within the otolaryngology literature supports this interpretation, with prior studies consistently identifying operations such as tonsillectomy as requiring the highest postoperative opioid doses [18–21]. This consensus that certain procedures are inherently high-pain has fostered a shared practice pattern, contributing to the higher baseline prescribing among head and neck surgeons.

These findings show that both experience and specialty exert distinct and lasting influences on prescribing behavior. Reducing this variation requires standardized, evidence-based protocols. Targeted educational interventions are also essential to harmonize practice and improve postoperative pain management. Attention must now turn to patient-level determinants, which reveal equally complex and clinically significant patterns.

Patient-Level Determinants of Prescribing
Refills and potential iatrogenic risk
Our analysis showed a statistically significant association between refill status and the size of the initial prescription: patients who received a refill had larger prescriptions at discharge than those with no refill (Table 4). Although this pattern may reflect appropriate titration for greater pain severity, it also raises concern about iatrogenic risk, since the initial prescription itself can shape subsequent opioid use.

Prior studies support this interpretation. Brummett et al. found that the size of the initial perioperative prescription was independently associated with new persistent opioid use among opioid-naïve patients [24]. Howard et al. showed that the amount prescribed was directly associated with the amount consumed, challenging the assumption that patient demand alone determines use [25]. Pharmacologic reviews have further outlined how high opioid exposure can promote receptor desensitization and internalization, biological processes that underlie the development of tolerance [26,27]. Taken together, these clinical and mechanistic observations suggest a potential feedback loop in which larger initial prescriptions, though often intended to prevent refills, may inadvertently normalize higher consumption and foster sustained opioid use. Careful calibration of the initial postoperative prescription is therefore essential to provide adequate analgesia while minimizing long-term risk.

Counterintuitive racial disparities in prescribing
A notable finding of our study was a pattern of racial variation in opioid prescribing that diverges from much of the existing literature. Prior investigations have consistently reported that Black or African American patients are less likely than White patients to receive adequate opioid prescriptions for pain [28–30]. In contrast, our analysis showed higher prescribing for Black or African American patients, whereas White and Asian patients received less.

This reversal permits at least two interpretations. The most parsimonious explanation is confounding by procedure type. Our data show that procedure type was the dominant determinant of prescribed MME, with nasal procedures requiring substantially lower doses than high-pain operations such as oropharyngeal surgery. External evidence demonstrates that Black or African American patients undergo key procedures within this low-pain category (specifically sinonasal procedures) at significantly lower rates than White patients [31]. This underrepresentation in low-MME surgeries likely, in turn, inflated the aggregate prescribing level for Black or African American patients in our cohort. Thus, the observed disparity is more plausibly explained by differences in the distribution of surgical categories across racial groups, with some groups underrepresented in low-pain procedures.

However, an alternative interpretation is that our findings reflect a distinct manifestation of prescriber bias. Although prior studies have consistently documented undertreatment of minority patients [28–30], our analysis showed higher prescribing for Black or African American patients. This does not negate the influence of bias but suggests that it may operate differently. Clinicians aware of historical disparities may prescribe more in an effort to compensate. In addition, implicit assumptions about social support, health literacy, or resilience may lead to larger precautionary prescriptions for certain groups [32].

Our study cannot definitively distinguish between these two explanations, namely confounding by procedure type and a distinct manifestation of prescriber bias, and it is plausible that both mechanisms operate simultaneously. This uncertainty is itself important, highlighting the need for further research to disentangle these influences and to guide equitable approaches to postoperative pain management.

Paradoxical effects of comorbidity
Our analyses revealed opposing associations. Psychiatric conditions, particularly anxiety and depression, were associated with higher prescribed MME. This finding aligns with emerging evidence that preoperative mental health disorders independently predict elevated postoperative opioid needs and the risk of persistent use [33].

In contrast, several chronic medical conditions, including hypothyroidism, liver disease, metastatic solid tumor, renal disease, and neuropathy, were associated with lower prescribing. This pattern likely reflects a risk-stratification approach in which surgeons reduce opioid doses for patients with systemic disease to minimize drug interactions and adverse events.

These observations highlight opportunities for more integrated perioperative care. Preoperative mental health screening, combined with multimodal analgesia, may help reduce opioid reliance, mitigate misuse risk, and contribute to broader efforts to address the opioid epidemic increasingly driven by synthetic agents [12].

Age and clinical risk stratification
Patient age showed a modest but statistically significant association with opioid prescribing. Each 5-year increase corresponded to a 1% reduction in prescribed MME (Table 4). This pattern mirrors previous research. Bethell et al. and Zaveri et al. similarly found that younger patients tend to receive higher postoperative opioid doses, whereas prescribing decreases with advancing age [34,35].

This age-related decline likely reflects deliberate clinical judgment rather than reduced pain burden. Surgeons may adopt a more cautious approach for older adults to minimize opioid-related complications such as sedation, respiratory depression, falls, and drug–drug interactions. Moreover, although epidemiologic data show that adults aged 65 years or older have lower rates of opioid misuse than those aged 50 to 64 [36], this does not imply that opioid use is inherently safer in this population. Older adults remain highly vulnerable to adverse effects, making safety a major concern in postoperative management.

Taken together, the age-related decline in prescribing reflects rational clinical risk stratification. It aligns immediate postoperative management with both epidemiologic patterns of misuse and the heightened vulnerability of older adults to adverse events. This indicates that surgeons incorporate population-level evidence with patient-specific risk factors when guiding prescribing decisions. Future research linking discharge prescribing with actual use and adverse outcomes is needed to determine whether such strategies effectively reduce clinical harm.

Study Limitations

The findings of this study should be interpreted in the context of several limitations. First, the study design may limit the generalizability of our results. This was a retrospective analysis of data from a single academic medical center, and prescribing patterns may not be representative of other practice settings. The cross-sectional nature of the data, restricted to the point of discharge, also precludes any evaluation of the association between initial prescribing and long-term opioid use. Furthermore, the study was conducted entirely during the COVID-19 pandemic, a context that may have introduced practice variations not generalizable to other periods.

Second, the use of retrospective electronic medical record data introduced measurement limitations. Specifically, the dataset lacked consistent documentation on whether prescriptions were intended for scheduled or as-needed (PRN) use, and it did not reliably capture the total days of supply. This information deficit prevented the conversion of total MME to daily MME, constraining interpretation within guideline-based risk thresholds. Data quality for patient demographics was also limited; the cohort was predominantly White, and a substantial proportion of patients (17.5%) had a racial classification of “Other” or “Unknown,” which may have introduced misclassification bias.

Finally, our analytical approach required certain simplifications. To ensure model stability, we excluded several comorbidities that were significant in univariate analyses, creating a potential for residual confounding. Similarly, the grouping of specific operations into broad surgical categories may have attenuated true differences in prescribing between procedures.

Despite these constraints, this analysis provides a granular, real-world assessment of postoperative opioid prescribing in ambulatory otolaryngology. Our findings highlight critical areas of variability and provide an evidence-based foundation for future prospective research and quality improvement initiatives.

Clinical and Research Implications

The multifactorial variations in opioid prescribing identified in this study underscore the need for a transition from broad recommendations to more individualized postoperative pain management. The finding that surgical procedure type is the strongest determinant of prescribing highlights the importance of developing granular, procedure-specific guidelines. The additional influence of surgeon experience and specialty suggests that uniform educational strategies are insufficient. Quality improvement initiatives should instead be tailored to the needs of both junior and senior surgeons. Moreover, the observed associations between psychiatric comorbidities, prescription refills, and higher MME emphasize the importance of integrated perioperative care that includes routine preoperative screening for psychosocial risk factors.

This study also defines key priorities for future research. To overcome the limitations inherent in a single-center, retrospective design, prospective multicenter studies are required to validate these findings and clarify causal relationships between prescribing patterns and long-term outcomes, such as new persistent opioid use. Future work should incorporate systematic collection of standardized data elements, including days of supply, to enable alignment with national guideline thresholds. In addition, qualitative studies involving structured interviews with surgeons are needed to elucidate the cognitive, cultural, and institutional factors that shape prescribing behavior. A mixed-methods framework that integrates quantitative and qualitative insights may provide a more effective foundation for developing interventions to optimize clinical practice.

Conclusion

In this large, single-center cohort study, postoperative opioid prescribing emerged as a multifactorial behavior shaped by surgical procedure, surgeon characteristics, and patient factors rather than a uniform response to pain. These findings challenge the feasibility of standardizing postoperative pain management through a single prescribing model and highlight the need for individualized, evidence-based frameworks that balance effective analgesia with the reduction of opioid-related harm.

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Editorial Information

Publication History

Received date: July 01, 2025
Accepted date: September 16, 2025
Published date: October 20, 2025

Disclosure

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Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL, United States
Loyola University Chicago Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, IL, United States
Loyola University Chicago Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, IL, United States
Loyola University Chicago Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, IL, United States
Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL, United States
Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL, United States
Email: coltenpwolf@gmail.com
Address: 2160 South First Avenue, Maywood, IL 60153, USA
Loyola University Chicago Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, IL, United States
Email: sscontrac@gmail.com
Address: 2160 South First Avenue, Maywood, IL 60153, USA
Table 1.jpg

Table 2.jpg

Table 3.jpg

Table 4.jpg

Figure 1.png
Figure 1. Racial variation in median discharge opioid prescribing after ambulatory otolaryngology surgery. The bar chart shows the median morphine milligram equivalents (MME) prescribed at discharge across four racial groups within the study cohort (n = 2,129). Prescribing volume differs significantly among groups (p = 0.004). Black/African American patients receive the highest median MME, whereas Asian patients receive the lowest, with White and Other/Unknown groups demonstrating intermediate values.
Figure 2.png
Figure 2. Distribution of surgical procedure types. The pie chart shows the proportional distribution of ambulatory otolaryngology procedures in the study cohort (n = 2,129). Percentages for each category are displayed to highlight relative case volumes across the major surgical groups.
Figure 3.png
Figure 3. Median prescribed morphine milligram equivalents (MME) by surgical procedure type. The bar chart shows the median MME prescribed at discharge, stratified by surgical category (n = 2,129). Prescribing differs significantly among groups (p < 0.001). Oropharyngeal procedures are associated with the highest median MME, whereas head and neck and otologic procedures are associated with the lowest.

Editor’s Comments

This study offers clinically and publicly significant insights into postoperative opioid prescribing following ambulatory otolaryngology procedures, notably revealing racial disparities and the influence of physician experience. Reviewers unanimously acknowledged the dataset's strength and the novelty of findings, particularly the higher MME among Black/African American patients. However, major concerns remain. These include omission of key comorbidities from the multivariable model, unclear exclusion of zero-MME cases, lack of transparency in MME calculation and prescription types, and failure to account for interactions between race and surgical type or for confounding factors such as socioeconomic status and healthcare access. The “opioid paradox” in the Introduction section also lacks clear linkage to the study’s aim. The manuscript shows potential but requires significant revision to meet publication standards. Strengthening model adjustments, clarifying methodology, addressing systemic disparities, and updating policy context are essential. If addressed, the work could meaningfully inform opioid prescribing standards and promote equity in postoperative pain care.
Revision Details
The authors have substantially revised the manuscript in response to reviewer and editorial concerns. The Results now explicitly reference Table 1 to describe patient demographics and baseline MME, and Table 3 to present surgical and provider characteristics. The rationale for excluding certain comorbidities from the multivariable negative binomial regression model was clarified, with residual confounding acknowledged as a limitation. Patients with MME = 0 were confirmed as included, while the absence of information on scheduled versus PRN dosing was noted as a limitation. The Methods were expanded to detail MME calculation using CDC 2022 conversion factors across all oral opioid prescriptions. The Discussion now distinguishes total discharge MME from guideline thresholds (≥50 or ≥90 MME/day) and outlines future plans for threshold-based analyses. The Introduction was updated with recent epidemiologic data, including pandemic-related mortality surges, to better contextualize the “opioid paradox.” The authors also acknowledged limitations related to racial misclassification and missing socioeconomic and healthcare access data. Collectively, these revisions improve methodological clarity, contextual relevance, and the manuscript’s contribution to equitable opioid prescribing standards.

Reviewer 1 Comments

This study analyzes 2,129 cases from a U.S. medical center between 2020 and 2023 to evaluate how surgical type, comorbidities, race, and physician characteristics influence postoperative opioid prescribing. It confirms established patterns, such as higher MME with oropharyngeal procedures and lower prescribing by junior physicians, and presents a noteworthy finding that Black or African American patients received higher MMEs, contrary to prior reports. While the study provides valuable insights and supports efforts toward prescribing standardization, three key limitations remain. These include unadjusted confounding from relevant comorbidities, an introduction that lacks alignment with the study’s main objective, and an oversimplified interpretation of physician experience. Addressing these concerns would strengthen the manuscript’s suitability for publication.

  1. Comorbidities such as depression, anxiety, and hypothyroidism were significantly associated with MME but were not included in the multivariable model. Without adjustment, it is unclear whether these effects are independent. For example, patients with anxiety or depression may have been more likely to undergo high-pain procedures, potentially confounding the results. It is unclear why these variables were excluded from the model despite their significance. If this was due to limitations in data availability, variable coding, or model stability, the authors are encouraged to clarify this in the Discussion section. Acknowledging this limitation would improve interpretive transparency and strengthen the overall credibility of the findings.
    ResponseWe clarified that certain comorbidities were excluded from the multivariable model due to collinearity with surgical type or instability of model estimates, and we added this as a limitation to acknowledge potential residual confounding. Addition can be seen in line 342-346 as follows: "Although several of these comorbidities were statistically significant in univariate analyses, they were not included in the multivariable regression model due to collinearity with surgical type or model stability concerns. We now acknowledge this as a limitation, as residual confounding by comorbidity burden may have influenced the observed associations."
     
  2. The current paragraph on the “opioid paradox” highlights falling prescription rates but rising opioid-related deaths, mainly due to illicit drugs like fentanyl. While accurate, this framing downplays the role of medical prescribing and creates a disconnect with the study’s aim, which is to evaluate and improve opioid prescribing after ambulatory otolaryngology procedures. If prescribing is seen as irrelevant to the crisis, the study’s purpose is weakened. Moreover, recent studies show that prescribing still matters. Kharasch et al. reported that despite a 38% drop in prescriptions over the past decade, opioid deaths rose nearly 300%, reflecting a more complex crisis (Anesthesiology. 2022;136(1):10–30). Lee et al. showed that while state policies reduced legal prescriptions, they did not stop the growth of illicit drug networks (JAMA Netw Open. 2021;4(2):e2036687). Florence et al. found that many who misuse opioids began with legitimate prescriptions (Drug Alcohol Depend. 2021;218:108350). Nearly 15% of Americans still receive at least one opioid prescription annually. The paragraph should be revised to reflect that, even with rising illicit use, medical prescribing remains a key factor. This clarification will better support the study’s rationale and relevance to public health.
    ResponseWe revised the “opioid paradox” paragraph to emphasize that, despite the increasing role of illicit fentanyl, medical prescribing remains a significant contributor to the opioid crisis and is therefore relevant to our study’s objectives. We integrated the findings from Kharasch 2022, Lee 2021, and Gomes 2023 (instead of Florence 2021) to provide updated national epidemiologic data, including years of life lost during the COVID-19 pandemic. We also retained the statistic that approximately 15% of the U.S. population fills at least one opioid prescription per year to underscore the ongoing prevalence of prescribing. Edits to Reviewer 1, Comment 2 can be seen in lines 84-107 as follows:

    "Opioid prescriptions have been declining despite a continued rise in opioid-related deaths. This “opioid paradox” is related to the rise in synthetic opioids such as fentanyl; however recent evidence demonstrates that medical prescribing continues to play an important role in the opioid crisis. For example, a 2022 study found that despite a 38% drop in prescriptions over the past decade, opioid deaths rose nearly 300%.33 Another analysis of national prescribing policies found that while certain state laws reduced the number of legal opioid prescriptions dispensed, they did not reduce the growth of illicit opioid distribution networks or the associated overdose morality.10 More recently, national mortality data demonstrated a 289% increase in opioid deaths and a 276% rise in years of life lost between 2011 and 2021, with a 62.9% surge during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting that the pandemic may have intensified prescribing patterns and access challenges.34 Despite the drop in prescribing since the early 2000s, opioid use is still common, with nearly 15% of the U.S. population filling at least one opioid prescription annually.5 Together, these studies highlight that monitoring and optimizing medical prescribing patterns remains a critical step toward developing safe, equitable guidelines that enhance patient care, address disparities in prescribed quantities, and reduce the risks of misuse, diversion, and overdose."

    We undertook this retrospective study with the main objective of quantifying and identifying the amount of opioids prescribed for acute postoperative pain in ambulatory otolaryngology procedures and to determine the patient, surgical, and physician factors associated with variation in prescribing. Our goal is to use these findings to inform standardized equitable prescribing protocols at our institution that optimize pain management while minimizing risks of misuse and overdose.
     
  3. The authors propose that lower opioid prescribing by less experienced physicians may reflect the impact of education reform and heightened awareness of the opioid crisis. This is a valuable perspective. Could the authors elaborate on whether this explanation captures the full range of possible influences? For instance, such reforms likely affect all physicians to some extent, not only recent trainees. It may also be worth considering whether senior physicians continue to prescribe higher doses due to ingrained practice patterns or other factors not fully explored in the current discussion. To enrich this analysis, the authors might consider whether less experienced physicians, owing to more limited clinical exposure and heightened sensitivity to malpractice, licensure risk, or uncertainty in pain assessment, may be more likely to engage in defensive prescribing. This could manifest as closer adherence to guidelines and a tendency to prescribe lower doses to reduce the risk of adverse events or misuse. In contrast, more experienced physicians may draw on clinical intuition shaped by years of practice. Framing the observed differences as multifactorial, rather than attributing them primarily to the effects of reform, could enhance the nuance and credibility of the discussion.
    ResponseWe expanded our interpretation to include potential drivers such as greater adherence to institutional guidelines, medicolegal caution, and increased exposure, etc. Lines 513-517: "These differences are likely multifactorial. Less experienced physicians may adhere more closely to guidelines out of concern for patient safety, licensure, or malpractice risk, while senior physicians may rely on long-standing practice habits or clinical intuition shaped by years of experience. Framing the findings as multifactorial acknowledges the complexity of prescribing behaviors across career stages."

Reviewer 2 Comments

The authors investigate opioid prescribing after ambulatory otolaryngology procedures, showing that surgical type, patient demographics, and physician experience influence dosage. Findings such as higher prescriptions among African American patients and more conservative patterns by less experienced physicians highlight the need for standardized pain management. However, important limitations remain. Patients with zero MME are largely absent, yet not discussed. Prescription types (scheduled versus as needed) are unspecified, and key contextual factors such as socioeconomic status, healthcare access, and cultural influences are unaddressed. No interaction analysis between race and surgery type is provided, and the high proportion of “Other” or “Unknown” race classifications raises concerns about misclassification bias. Major revisions are needed to strengthen the study’s validity and interpretability.

  1. Could the authors clarify whether the dataset captured the type of prescription, such as whether opioids were given on a scheduled basis or prescribed on an as-needed (PRN) basis? In addition, were there any patients who received only non-opioid medications, resulting in an MME of zero? Clarifying these points would help readers better understand the actual prescribing patterns and improve interpretation of the findings. This clarification is important because prior studies have shown that many patients undergoing ambulatory procedures may not require opioid medications at all. For example, Mavrommatis et al. reported that after ambulatory otologic surgery, approximately 80% of patients managed pain with non-opioid medications alone, and only 20% received opioids (Otol Neurotol. 2021;42(9):1360–1365). If detailed data on these prescribing categories were not available in the current dataset, the authors may consider acknowledging this as a limitation. Doing so would enhance the transparency of the study and preempt potential concerns regarding selection bias or underrepresentation of opioid-free cases.
    ResponseWe have clarified that patients with 0 MME (opioid-free prescriptions) were included in our analysis. This information came from our study dataset, which showed patients had no opioids prescribed postoperatively. Including these patients ensures our results reflect the full spectrum of prescribing practices, including opioid-sparing strategies. We added a statement noting that the dataset did not record whether prescriptions were written as scheduled or PRN (as-needed) doses. This information gap was identified during our chart abstraction and data cleaning process, as prescription instructions were not standardized in the electronic medical record export. We also acknowledged this as a limitation in the discussion. Edits can be seen in lines 148-152 as follows: "Patients with morphine milligram equivalents (MME) of zero (i.e., those who received only non-opioid medications) were included in the analysis to ensure representation of opioid-free prescribing patterns. Additionally, the dataset did not capture whether prescriptions were written as scheduled doses or on an as-needed (PRN) basis, and this is acknowledged as a study limitation."
     
  2. Could the authors clarify whether factors such as socioeconomic status, insurance, access to care, or regional prescribing patterns were considered when interpreting racial differences in opioid prescribing? The explanation focusing on surgical type is reasonable, but these additional variables may also contribute. Notably, 17% of patients were classified as “Other” or “Unknown” race, which raises concerns about potential misclassification. The study period also coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic, which may have influenced prescribing practices, such as increasing doses to reduce follow-up. Was this considered in the analysis? Prior studies have described compensatory prescribing, where clinicians may increase doses for minority patients to avoid appearing biased. If data on these influences were unavailable, noting them as limitations could help strengthen the manuscript and clarify the observed patterns.
    ResponseWe did not have access to socioeconomic status, insurance, or access-to-care data in our dataset, nor did we have a way to evaluate regional prescribing variations or compensatory prescribing behaviors. We have noted these as limitations in the Discussion, and in the Results we now clarify the “Other/Unknown” race proportion and the fact that COVID-era prescribing was within the study window. Lines 208-210 and lines 233-239 as follows: "The median MME differs significantly among racial groups in the unadjusted analysis, with Black/African American patients being prescribed the highest (80 MME), followed by White or Other (75 MME), and Asian (60 MME), p-value: 0.0035 (Figure 2). Race was not included as a covariate in the adjusted regression model, so these differences are based on unadjusted data only. Overall, 17.5% of patients were classified as “Other” or “Unknown” race, which may reflect misclassification and limits interpretation of subgroup differences."

    We also added the absence of socioeconomic status, insurance coverage, and healthcare access data. We noted the high proportion of patients classified as “Other” or “Unknown” race, which may cause misclassification bias. Lines 427-429: "We did not have access to socioeconomic status, insurance coverage, or healthcare access variables, nor did we evaluate regional prescribing differences or potential pandemic-related compensatory prescribing." Lines 448-450: "The relatively high proportion (17.5%) of patients classified as “Other” or “Unknown” race may reflect misclassification bias, which could obscure or exaggerate subgroup differences."

Reviewer 3 Comments

This retrospective study examines opioid prescribing after ambulatory otolaryngology procedures, showing how surgical type, comorbidities, race, and physician experience influence dosage. It confirms high prescribing for procedures like tonsillectomy and notes lower doses from less experienced physicians, suggesting growing awareness of opioid risks. The finding that African American patients received higher MME than others challenges assumptions and reflects thoughtful analysis of confounding factors. However, the study does not explain MME calculation or relate findings to clinical risk thresholds such as 90 MME per day. It also cites 2019 data on years of life lost without addressing increased overdose deaths during the COVID-19 era. Clarifying these points would strengthen the study’s impact and relevance.

  1. Although MME is used as a key outcome measure, the method of calculation is not clearly described in the manuscript. Could the authors clarify the conversion approach used, including which medications were included and whether administration route or formulation was considered? It may also be helpful to specify the daily MME calculation in the Methods section and cite standard guidelines, such as those from the CDC. Providing this information would improve transparency, support reproducibility, and strengthen the study’s relevance to clinical pain management. It would also facilitate comparisons across future studies that use CDC-defined risk thresholds.
    ResponseWe agree that our initial description of the MME calculation lacked sufficient specificity. We have expanded the Methods section to clarify that all opioid prescriptions written at discharge were included. The calculation method now specifies that the total dose in milligrams for each prescribed opioid was multiplied by the CDC’s published Oral Morphine Milligram Equivalent (MME) conversion factor for that medication, and these values were summed to produce the total MME per patient. These details were drawn directly from our EMR data abstraction and cross-verified with the CDC’s 2022 conversion table. Edits can be seen in lines 170-178 as follows: "MME was calculated for each patient’s total prescribed opioid dose at discharge using the CDC Opioid Oral Morphine Milligram Equivalent Conversion Factors table (updated 2022). All outpatient prescriptions for oral opioid formulations -- including codeine, fentanyl transdermal, hydrocodone, hydromorphone, methadone, morphine, oxycodone, oxymorphone, tapentadol, tramadol -- documented in the EMR were included. For each prescription, the total prescribed dose in milligrams was multiplied by the CDC conversion factor for that medication, and the results were summed across all opioids to yield the patient’s total MME. The calculation was: MME = (total mg of prescribed opioid × CDC conversion factor)."
     
  2. The use of MME as a continuous variable supports efficient modeling and preserves full variability for dose–response analysis. However, clinical guidelines often rely on thresholds such as 90 MME per day to identify high-risk prescribing. Although this study does not apply such cutoffs, which is justifiable for analytic rigor, the authors may consider noting this in the discussion. Acknowledging this distinction could help bridge the findings to clinical frameworks and highlight opportunities for future studies to include threshold-based analyses that align with practice-oriented decision making.
    ResponseWe now explicitly acknowledge the distinction between our continuous, total discharge MME outcome and daily MME thresholds used in clinical guidance (e.g., caution above 50 MME/day and legacy high-risk threshold at 90 MME/day). Because we did not consistently have days’ supply, we could not derive daily MME or classify patients by threshold; we note this as a limitation and outline a plan for future work to compute daily MME and report proportions exceeding guideline-relevant cut points to enhance clinical interpretability. We have added the paragraph below to the Discussion. See addition in lines 390-403 as follows:

    "Our findings are presented as total discharge MME rather than daily MME to preserve dose variability and enable robust modeling across procedures, patients, and prescribers. This approach preserves the continuous nature of prescribing data, which is valuable for understanding relative differences in practice patterns. Nonetheless, we recognize that clinicans often interpret risk through daily MME thresholds—for example, the CDC’s cautionary threshold at ≥50 MME/day and the legacy high-risk threshold at ≥90 MME/day. Because prescription duration and days’ supply were not consistently recorded in our dataset, we could not reliably convert discharge quantities into daily doses. As such, our findings should be interpreted as total prescribed amounts rather than guideline-classified daily exposures. This distinction does not change the observed associations but limits direct comparison with threshold-based risk frameworks. Future studies should capture days’ supply to calculate daily MME and report the proportion of patients exceeding guideline-relevant cutoffs, which would better align research outputs with clinical decision-making and prescribing policies."
     
  3. The Introduction section cites opioid-related years of life lost (YLL) based on 2019 data, but this may not reflect recent trends, especially the impact of COVID-19. This weakens the timeliness and public health relevance of the study’s rationale. The authors are encouraged to update the background using more recent longitudinal data, such as Gomes et al., which showed a 289% increase in opioid deaths and a 276% rise in YLL from 2011 to 2021, with a 62.9% jump during the pandemic (JAMA Netw Open. 2023;6(7):e2322303). Including such data would strengthen the study’s context and urgency.
    ResponseWe incorporated a statement on how the pandemic may have influenced opioid prescribing patterns. Edits to Reviewer 3, Comment 3 can be seen in lines 91-95 as follows: "More recently, national mortality data demonstrated a 289% increase in opioid deaths and a 276% rise in years of life lost between 2011 and 2021, with a 62.9% surge during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting that the pandemic may have intensified prescribing patterns and access challenges."

    We also incorporated a statement on how the pandemic may have influenced opioid prescribing patterns. View the addition in lines 303-308 as follows: "More recent longitudinal data also highlights the pandemic’s impact, with opioid-related fatalities increasing nearly 63% during COVID-19. Additionally, opioid-related fatalities surged by 292% in the U.S. from 2001 to 2016.15 In our study, procedures occurred between March of 2020 to March of 2023. This timeframe overlaps with the COVID-19 pandemic, during which prescribing practiced may have shifted (e.g., increased initial doses to reduce follow-up visits)." We further noted the following limitation in lines 427–429: "We did not have access to socioeconomic status, insurance coverage, or healthcare access variables, nor did we evaluate regional prescribing differences or potential pandemic-related compensatory prescribing."

Editorial Comments

The authors are encouraged to revise the Results section to explicitly reference Table 3, as it does not appear to be cited or described in the current text.
ResponseWe added explicit references to Table 3 when describing surgery type and surgeon characteristic results. Edits can be seen in lines 225-231 as follows: Most patients did not receive any refills on their primary opioid prescription (92.9%), while 7.1% had at least one refill. Attending surgeons were predominantly male (72.3%) and most had more than 10 years of experience (65.6%), followed by 6-10 years (30.5%) and ≤5 years (4.0%). The most common surgical specialty was Rhinology (35.7%), followed by Neurotology (24.0%), Head and Neck Surgery (17.0%), Laryngology (10.2%), Pediatric Otolaryngology (4.7%), Comprehensive Otolaryngology (6.9%), and Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery (1.6%). A full distribution of surgery type, refill status, surgeon gender, years of experience, and specialty is provided in Table 3.

Wolf C, Contractor S, Fournier E, Feffer M, Hurtuk AM. Multifactorial determinants of opioid prescribing after ambulatory otolaryngology surgery. Arch Otorhinolaryngol Head Neck Surg 2025;9(1):3. https://doi.org/10.24983/scitemed.aohns.2025.00200